Monday, November 03, 2008

could alaska go blue?

Of course it's a long shot, but new polling suggests that the conservative bastion of Alaska may be in play in tomorrow's presidential election.

Yes, the same Alaska whose governor, Sarah Palin, is the vice-presidential candidate on the GOP ticket.

A Hays Research statewide survey in Alaska taken yesterday gave John McCain 46.6% of the vote, while Barack Obama garnered 43.9%. Factoring in those that were leaning one way or the other, the numbers are 48-45. That would mean that the Democrats are only down in Alaska by a mere three points, which is within the margin of error of the poll.

According to RealClearPolitics, however, an average of October polling puts the Republican ticket more than 15 points ahead of Obama in the state.

While it would be a total rejection of the Republican Party if the Democrats were to prevail in Palin's home state, we think it's much more likely for Obama to carry McCain's state, Arizona.

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